CRAZY BET! No more to say...

2 = 2 = -2.3163

The old Jonas Bjorkman decided to play on clay and winning?
We saw some mirracles in the first two rounds when Bjorkman won the matches being two sets down, but I expect something different today.
Hernandez (61) is an average player, I know, but he's a clay specialist... He played 97% of his matches on clay.
This year his record 30-12.
Now, speaking about Bjorkman, he will be very tired today and he still need to think about his doubles game.
Looking to his stats on clay, 9-23 (last 4+ years), we can understand why Hernandez is a such big favorite here.
Now about the -6.5 handicap... I looked to Bjorkman final sets in best of 3 sets matches when he loosing the game:
In Monte Carlo vs. Hyung-Taik Lee (bad on clay) 1-6...
In Rome vs. Dmitry Tursunov 1-6...
In Hamburg vs. Ferrer 2-6...
In Dusseldorf vs Massu 0-6...
In Dusseldorf vs.Jose Acasuso 4-6...
In best of 5 set matches there is more opportunities past the -6.5 line.

GL



2 = 2 = -2.3163

The pick based on stats only.
Looking to Carlos Zambrano last scores and Kyle Davies's - I think that the bookies were able to post even higher total.
The fact that the total is ONLY 9 a little bit scares me, but anyway...

GL


2 = 2 = -3.0502

It's a first game of the czeska finals.
The teams will meet for the fifth time this season.
Both teams have good defences, and they will try to prove it in this game. Nymbruk is a clear favorite to win the titule, but they have a problem to run vs. Prostějov, and I think that they will not doing what they can't.
Nymbruk lead the season series 3-1, while their two home games played under this posted total (70-63 and 77-66), the first game in Prostějov ended after OT (73-73 after regulation) and Prostějov won the fourth game 81-78 scoring 47 points in 2-nd half, something we can't expect today.
It's a final, so I'm waiting for real battle, without easy lay-ups.

GL

2 = 2 = -2.0502
The prediction was bad, but I lost it 14 seconds before the end, with a 3 pointer (that player only basket in whole game)

Vaidisova will continue to the fourth round almoust for sure, the question is want she do it without dropping a set or no?
Nikole's record on clay very good (29-11), she was in semis last year on RG, while Stosur only 23-24 on clay (last 5 years) and 6-6 this season.
H2H favors Vaidisova with 3-0 (no matches on clay).
Scores: 6-4, 6-1 (carpet) 6-4, 6-2 and 6-4, 4-6, 6-1 (both on hard) - all the matches played in 2006.

GL

2 = 2 = -3.0022

Mr. Llodra surprisingly won in second round vs. Almagro in % sets match, but I can't see him doing something against clay specialist - Davydenko.
Davydenko has better seasons for sure. He is 10-7 on clay this season (won the first two at RG without dropping a set).
Llodra will have the support from the home fans, but support only can't help him. He played only 39 games on clay in 5 last years (it's 17% of his games) - his record 18-21.
H2H favors Davy 2-0.
They played 1 game on clay and Nikolay won 6-1, 6-1 (two years ago).
I think that -8 in best of 5 set match it's a good bet (especially with odds 2.05), the bookies gives for 3-0 score only 1.741

GL

(2= 2 =-3,0022)

An interesting game will take place in Austria Regionalliga (west). Innsbrucker AC will host Hard (a team that still fighting for the promotion).
My pick based on stats only, so be carefull if U follow me.
107 goals were scored in 22 Innsbrucker AC's games (it's an average of almoust 5 goals per game), 65 in Hard's games (2.95 per game).
Now in 10 Innsbrucker AC's matches at home were scored 57 goals (25-32) an average of crazy 5.7 per game.
Hard's away scoring 21-11 (in 11 games - average of 2.90 per game).
Hard need the points + I can't see Innsbrucker not to score at least one at their home, so this 2.75 goals looks good.

GL

All the attention today in Holland on the titule battle (I'm think the battle is over and Az will be champions)...
FC Groningen... the teams play very good soccer lately and they still have a little chance for take the 5-th place and a place in play-off games for CL.
They won their last four games, scoring 12 goals (including 4-0 away vs. Feyenoord).
Utrecht can loss their play-offs for UEFA cup only if NAC will win in Twente (and I hardly believe it can happen, as Twente lost only once at home during all season).
Also Utrecht not so good away with 1-5-10 (9-33).
By the way Utrecht won their home game vs. Groningen 3-0, so it's not a bad time for revenge.
Groningen at home 8-4-4 (32-24).

GL

On saturday I increased once again my bet amount, and did it again today in the morning.
Money stats: 491,45% profit (see how the system works in "comments").
I'm 1 unit up after 8 increasings and hope for continuation...
GL and have a nice and profitable days (and nights).

West Ham will try once again to close the 3 pts. def. from the safe zone.
This time they goes to Wigan, that tottally out of form. If you compare between the teams, West Ham have better players, they even were in the top places at the begining of the season, but start loosing and loosing after Tevez deal.
West Ham won 4 out of last 6, while Wigan without a win in their last 6.
Wigan not good at home, so they can't count only on their home for the win. West Ham already were in same situation when they needed points badly vs. bottom team (I mean Sheffield U) and lost 0-3, I hope they learned the lesson.
The hammers happy that the league gave them money punishment for the Tevez deal, because they are sure that their destiny in their own hands.

GL

It's a very important game for both clubs for different reasons. Everton wants a place in UEFA Cup, while MU wants the titule.
Both teams need the 3 points and for that reason I expect an attacking game.
MU have problems with their defense lately (4 important defenders are injured), so it will be easier for Everton to score a goal (I hope they will find forwards for this game).
Everton scored 28 goals in their 17 league matches, while MU scored 32 away goals (in 16).
Everton will place a young keeper to this game - this factor can help very much MU.

GL